Florida Climate Institute

: Adaptation of Florida’s Urban Infrastructure to Climate Change; This chapter looks at how the impacts of climate change affect different parts of Florida. With more than 1500 miles of coastline that contains numerus differences in character between the state’s southern-most point in the Florida Keys to the northwest Florida Panhandle and northeast Florida in Jacksonville, it is easy to see why areas across the state are not all the same; temperature, rainfall rates, and even the potential for sea level rise can vary significantly depending on what part of the state one is in. For example, southeast Florida and the Tampa Bay area are already dealing with sea level rise issues, but there is much work to be done in order to assess the risks and help identify potential solutions. Efforts to adapt to rising seas will need to draw upon prior research and current work to develop tool box strategies that involve the hard and soft components. A background of impacts to water resources (less rainfall has been detected) will be discussed., Keywords: Sea level rise adaptation, Groundwater, Aquifer drainage, Toolbox of strategies, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Assessment of High‐Resolution Regional Ocean Prediction Systems Using Multi‐Platform Observations; High-resolution regional models of the ocean circulation are now operated on a routine basis using realistic setups in many regions of the world, with the aim to be used for both scientific purposes and practical applications involving decision-making processes. While the evaluation of these simulations is essential for the provision of reliable information to users and allows the identification of areas of model improvement, it also highlights several challenges. Observations are limited and the real state of the ocean is, to a large extent, unknown at the short spatiotemporal scales resolved in these models. The skill of the model also generally varies with the region, variable, depth and the spatiotemporal scale under consideration. Moreover, the increased spatial resolution might require ad hoc metrics to properly reflect the model performance and reduce the impact of so-called “double-penalty” effects occurring when using point-topoint comparisons with features present in the model but misplaced with respect to the observations. Multiplatform observations currently collected through regional and coastal ocean observatories constitute very valuable databases to evaluate the simulations. Gliders, high frequency radars, moorings, Lagrangian surface drifters, and profiling floats all provide, with their own specific sampling capability, partial but accurate information about the ocean and its variability at different scales. This is complementary to the global measurements collected from satellites. Using a case study in the Western Mediterranean Sea, this chapter illustrates the opportunities offered by multi-platform measurements to assess the realism of highresolution regional model simulations., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Biogeochemical In Situ Observations – Motivation, Status, and New Frontiers; We begin this chapter on in situ biogeochemical observations by presenting the three major areas of societal benefit related to ocean observations: climate, operational ocean services, and ocean health. Biogeochemistry constitutes a varying proportion of each of these areas, while climate and ocean health benefit more from sustained flow of accurate information than operational ocean services. Once the societal drivers are presented, we focus on identifying the relevant phenomena that need quantifying. These phenomena are closely related to the scientific dimension, which helps to establish specific observing targets and observing system design. Scales, seasonality, and geographic limitations are briefly discussed. Consideration is also given to the fact that often a given biogeochemical phenomenon is primarily driven by physical processes (e.g., ventilation, air-sea fluxes) or biological and ecosystem mechanisms (e.g., organic matter cycling, eutrophication) and, therefore, parameters across all three disciplines ought to be measured. Next, we provide an overview of the current capabilities of the global ocean observing system (GOOS) for biogeochemistry. The capacity is considered as an ability (or lack thereof – a gap in capacity) to address the requirements stated in the earlier part of the chapter. A holistic approach to thinking about platforms and sensors is presented. In the following section, the data quality requirements and efforts, as well as data management practices are briefly explained. There has been a strong, long-standing effort among the carbon and biogeochemical observationalists to make biogeochemistry data not only freely available, but also quality-controlled and inter-comparable. These grassroots efforts eventually led to the successful creation of two information products: SOCAT and GLODAP, which are predominantly carbon-focused and represent almost exclusively ship-based, benchtop instrument-based observations. We also discuss an urgent need to expand biogeochemical data availability, quality control, and inter-comparability beyond carbon parameters and onto a wider suite of available platforms and observing techniques (sensors). Finally, to the extent possible, a perspective on existing and planned prototype technology is provided., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Characterizing the onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon; An objective index of the onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) is introduced. This index has the advantage of simplicity by using only one variable, which is the spatially averaged all-India rainfall, a reliably observed quantity for more than a century. The proposed onset index is shown to be insensitive to all historic false onsets. By definition, now the seasonal mean rainfall anomalies become a function of variations in onset and demise dates, rendering their monitoring to be very meaningful. This new index provides a comprehensive representation of the seasonal evolution of the ISM by capturing the corresponding changes in large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic variables. We also show that the interannual variability of the onset date of the ISM is associated with El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with early (late) onsets preceded by cold (warm) ENSO., Keywords: definition, Dynamics, Evolution, interannual variability, ocean, plateau, rainfall, season, sensitivity, south asian monsoon, Publication Note: The publisher’s version of record is available at http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068409

: Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Florida’s Agriculture; In this chapter, we describe Florida’s agriculture, the vulnerability of its crops and livestock to climate change and possible adaptation strategies. Much of Florida’s agricultural success is linked to its moderate climate, which allows vegetable and fruit crop production during the winter/spring season as well as the production of perennial crops such as citrus and sugarcane. In addition, there is a substantial livestock industry that uses the extensive perennial grasslands. While rising CO2 is generally beneficial to crop production but detrimental to nutritional quality, increase in temperature will cause mostly negative effects on yield. Florida’s agriculture faces additional challenges from climate change characterized by sea level rise and intensified extreme climate events, affecting land and irrigation water availability, livestock productivity and pest and disease pressure. New technologies and adaptation strategies are needed for sustainable agricultural production in Florida, including increased water and nutrient use efficiency in crops, crop and livestock breeding for heat stress, pest and disease resistance and reduced exposure of livestock to high temperature. Irrigation is a favored adaptation, but places an even greater burden or potential conflict between agriculture and community use of water resources., Keywords: Florida's agriculture, Climate change, Crops, Fruits, Livestock, Sea level rise, Irrigation, Water resources, Elevated carbon dioxide, Increased air temperature, Rainfall change, Salt water intrusion, Salinity, Climate change adaptation, Cover crop,, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate Change Impacts on Florida's Energy Supply and Demand; Florida’s unique location in the contiguous United States ensures that the effects of climate change will be significant and persistent across the state. Florida’s current economy and its population have developed energy use patterns based on fully developed fossil fuel industries. These industries and Florida’s consumption patterns are presented and analyzed. Location of Florida’s electricity generating facilities are shown and a significant proportion of these facilities are literally at the water’s edge. Future actions to protect the state’s energy supply may need to include costly moving of significant fossil fueled facilities and/or outright replacement by newer, cheaper renewable energy power plants. The current status of energy consumption in Florida is presented in this chapter, along with disruptive technologies in energy efficiency, renewable energy, and the electrical grid. World photovoltaic (PV) and wind power adoption rates are used to explore the possible time frames for renewable energy transformation., Keywords: Power generation, Energy efficiency, Conservation behaviors, Renewable resources, Building performance, Consumer financing, Solar photovoltaics, Fuel economy, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate Change Impacts on Florida’s Biodiversity and Ecology; Florida’s rich biodiversity is the product of climatic conditions, geographic position, and underlying geology. Interactions of these factors over time have led to the state’s unique biota, with Florida ranking fourth in the nation for total number of endemic species. The ability of Florida’s ecosystems to support plants and animals is intimately tied to its geographic location, climatic and hydrologic variables, including timing and amount of precipitation, the frequency and intensity of storms, the range and duration of temperature extremes, and water chemistry. The ecosystems and species of Florida have adapted to past periods of climatic change. However, these ecosystems are now under stress and less resilient due to past and existing human-caused alterations and impacts, affecting their ability to withstand and adapt to additional stressors such as climate change. The overall vulnerability of some systems and species is primarily driven by the severity and extent of these non-climate stressors. Florida’s biodiversity may be very different in the future, with some species and ecosystems affected to a greater extent than others. Community-level changes will occur as plant and animal species move and adapt at different rates. There are tools available to assist in determining relative vulnerability (vulnerability assessments) and potential impacts (scenario planning) that can aid in developing adaptation strategies. Awareness that change is likely to happen is critical to planning for the future and allowing for adaptation in management practices that will maximize Florida’s biodiversity for future generations., Keywords: Ecosystem, Habitat, Species, Phenology, Biodiversity, Adaptation, Vulnerability Assessments, Scenario Planning, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate Change Impacts on Florida’s Fisheries and Aquaculture Sectors and Options for Adaptation; Florida supports diverse marine and freshwater fisheries and a significant aquaculture industry with a combined economic impact of approximately 15 billion US$. We begin by describing the characteristics of the different fisheries and aquaculture sectors. This is followed by a description of the relevant climate change and confounding drivers. We then present an integrated social-ecological systems framework for analyzing climate change impacts and apply this framework to the different fisheries and aquaculture sectors. We highlight how the characteristics of each sector gives rise to distinct expected climate change impacts and potential adaptation measures. We conclude with general considerations for monitoring and adaptation., Keywords: Fisheries, Aquaculture, Sea level rise, Coastal habitat, Social-ecological system, Fisheries enhancement, Restoration aquaculture, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate Change Impacts on Human Health; Climate change poses major challenges to human society and to Earth systems, influencing the functioning of many ecosystems and thereby affecting human health. Many climate change/variability- and extreme weather-associated events, such as sea level rise, hurricanes, and storm surge, as well as other weather extremes, including excessive precipitation and heatwaves, have direct and/or indirect impacts on human health. These impacts include death/injury, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, environmentally-mediated infectious diseases, and mental health, among others. Due to its unique geography, Florida is particularly vulnerable to these environmental impacts, which have important health implications for the state’s more than 20 million residents. In this chapter, we review the health impacts of climate change and associated weather events, with an emphasis on those relevant to Florida, and environmental hazards, including hurricanes and storms, lightning, sea level rise, excessive precipitation, extreme heat, and drought. There is clear evidence for significant climate-sensitive hazards and human health impacts in the state, despite uncertainties associated with the assessment of some effects. To address health impacts and challenges, policies focused on mitigation and adaptation strategies, health surveillance, and research that could close knowledge gaps on human exposures to the climate-sensitive hazards and health impacts are needed., Keywords: Climate change, Environmental hazards, Human health, Florida, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate Change Impacts on Insurance in Florida; Climate change presents added risks as well as related opportunities for the insurance industry and financial sector. Implications must be evaluated for property, casualty and life insurance industry segments as well as for the financial sector more broadly. While climate change exacerbates the existing volatility of these markets, it also inherently creates opportunities for product development. Florida is a unique contributor to both the risk and opportunity since the state is the world’s largest insured catastrophe region. The state of Florida itself is heavily leveraged as insurer for much of the cost of extreme weather in the form of hurricanes and other tropical storms. Unlike other insurance risk bearers, however, this state cost of risk cannot be offset by commensurate market opportunity. Increased volatility in insurance, reinsurance, and capital markets are all challenges for Florida, with potentially adverse collateral effects on residual insurance market pressures, policyholder assessments, state debt, and tax strategies. Insurance industry initiatives, to the extent they are successful, can have a balancing effect on these challenges., Keywords: Disaster risk, Catastrophes, Insurance, Reinsurance, Economic loss, Risk reduction, Insurability, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate Change Impacts on Law and Policy in Florida; Climate change and sea level rise have made obsolete the notion that law and policy develop in the context of a relatively stable natural environment. The need of communities to adapt to climate change and sea level rise reflects the need for laws and policies governing those communities to facilitate rather than undermine such adaptation. This chapter provides an overview of law and policy issues at three levels of government—state, local, and federal. It highlights changes in state law and policy in Florida that relate to climate change and sea level rise. The chapter also focuses on local governments, and includes sections about regional collaborations of local governments, financial issues and climate change/sea level rise at the local level, examinations of impacts on infrastructure, and impacts on the public’s use of beaches in Florida. The chapter concludes with discussion of a policy change related to climate change and sea level rise at the federal level that impacts local governments., Keywords: Climate change, Sea level rise, Infrastructure, Flooding, Local government, Policy, Law, Planning, Resiliency, Adaptation, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Climate and Weather Extremes; This chapter examines Florida’s extreme weather hazards: 1) why they happen, 2) their relation to interannual to multidecadal climate variability, and 3) the potential of each hazard and spatial variability across the state. The weather hazards indicated are under these broad categories: precipitation (rainfall, flooding, droughts), thunderstorms (lightning, hail, convective wind, tornadoes), tropical weather (tropical storms and hurricanes), and temperatures (extreme highs and lows). The conclusions section mainly addresses the challenge of attributing extreme events to human-induced climate change., Keywords: Weather extremes, Seasonality, Climate variability, Frequencies, Attribution, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Coastal Ocean Forecast System for the U.S. Mid‐Atlantic Bight and Gulf of Maine; Coastal ocean models that downscale global operational models are widely used to study regional circulation at enhanced resolutions. When operated as nowcast/forecast systems, these models offer predictions that can provide actionable guidance for maritime applications. A nowcast/forecast system for the northeast U.S. coastal ocean is described in this chapter to illustrate, by example, the many practical issues to be considered when configuring such a model for operational oceanography applications. The system uses the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) and four-dimensional variational data assimilation of observations from a comprehensive network of in situ platforms, coastal radars, and satellites. The emergence of open access web data services that adhere to community conventions for metadata descriptions for coordinate systems and geo-scientific data types, and support geospatial search and sub-setting, are shown to foster inter-operability of data and model usage, accelerate the test, validate and acceptance cycle for modeling system enhancements, streamline the addition of new data streams, facilitate operational monitoring of the system, and enable novice users to view and download model outputs to underpin the generation of higher level ocean information products., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Modelling; The concept of “coupled modelling” is a broad one with many different meanings and understandings within the operational oceanography community and beyond. Here we focus specifically on coupled atmosphere-ocean models and how these are developing for different timescale prediction systems. After a general introduction, we briefly describe the status of coupled modelling on climate timescales (the most mature area), followed by seasonal and decadal timescales. We then consider short- and medium-range coupled timescales which are the least mature, but the area of most relevance to the future of operational oceanography (and numerical weather prediction). The third section describes new frontier applications of these systems on the different timescales. Finally, we provide some concluding remarks on coupled modelling in the fourth section., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Data Assimilation in Oceanography; Characterizing and forecasting the state of the ocean is essential for various scientific, management, commercial, and recreational applications. This is, however, a challenging problem due to the large, multiscale and nonlinear nature of the ocean state dynamics and the limited amount of observations. Combining all available information from numerical models describing the ocean dynamics, observations, and prior information has proven to be the most viable approach to determine the best estimates of the ocean state, a process called data assimilation (DA). DA is becoming widespread in many ocean applications; stimulated by continuous advancement in modeling, observational, and computational capabilities. This chapter offers a comprehensive presentation of the theory and methods of ocean DA, outlining its current status and recent developments, and discussing new directions and open questions. Casting DA as a Bayesian state estimation problem, the chapter will gradually advance from the basic principles of DA to its most advanced methods. Three-dimensional DA methods, 3DVAR and Optimal Interpolation, are first derived, before incorporating time and present the most popular, Gaussian-based DA approaches: 4DVAR, Kalman filters and smoothers methods, which exploit past and/or future observations. Ensemble Kalman methods are next introduced in their stochastic and deterministic formulations as a stepping-stone toward the more advanced nonlinear/non-Gaussian DA methods, Particle and Gaussian Mixture filters. Other sophisticated hybrid extensions aimed at exploiting the advantages of both ensemble and variational methods are also presented. The chapter then concludes with a discussion on the importance of properly addressing the uncertainties in the models and the data, and available approaches to achieve this through parameters estimation, model errors quantification, and coupled DA., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Diagnosis, Prognosis, and Management of Jellyfish Swarms; Jellyfish includes creatures that are mostly constituted by water and have a gelatinous consistency. In this chapter, after providing a biological description of these organisms, the scales of variability associated to their life cycle and framing their dynamics in the context of the climate change, I review the diverse initiatives and management of coastal jellyfish swarms. Jellyfish swarms have relevant social and economic implications; however, systematic and periodic data of jellyfish occurrences along beaches is sparse. This data would help us to understand the inter-annual variability of the episodes of high jellyfish abundances and its potential relation to variable environmental conditions. Joint strategies with tools available to scientist, administration, policymakers, and stakeholders can optimize the cost of gathering these in situ data and maximize the benefit obtained from its scientific analysis. Three case studies of jellyfish blooms are presented, from which we can infer the importance of co-creation with stakeholders emerges as a key issue to allow for a solid understanding of the episodes and the implementation of appropriate knowledge-based future mitigation actions., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Executive Summary; Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute., Preferred Citation: Chassignet, E. P., J. W. Jones, V. Misra, and J. Obeysekera (Eds.), 2017: Florida's Climate: Changes, Variations, & Impacts. Florida Climate Institute, 632 pp.

: Fine-scale Altimetry and the Future SWOT Mission; This chapter describes recent advances in improving altimetry observations over the ocean for the detection of fine-scale ocean dynamics. The first section gives an overview of the different satellite radar altimetry techniques being used today at high-resolution over the open and coastal oceans: from conventional alongtrack nadir altimetry to along-track Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) at nadir. We present the advantages of the measurement techniques in conventional Ku-band (Jason) and Ka-band (Saral), and in global SAR mode (Sentinel-3). We show how the along-track errors are estimated, how they vary geographically and seasonally, and how they limit the sea surface height (SSH) scales resolved. We also address various mapping techniques being used to derive gridded SSH data and the issues for observing fine-scale ocean dynamics from altimeter data in the coastal zone. The second section addresses the future global SARinterferometry mission, Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT), which aims to measure terrestrial surface waters and ocean SSH over a wide swath. We concentrate on the ocean component of this mission, which will provide the first two-dimensional (2D) observations of SSH on a 1-2 km grid. The low noise level of the SWOT observations should allow us to observe physical processes in the open and coastal oceans with wavelength scales down to 15-20 km. We present the SWOT SAR-interferometry technique, as well as the mission’s sampling characteristics and error budget. Of particular interest is the range of ocean dynamics that have a SSH signature in the wavelength scale of 15-200 km, including small mesoscale structures, larger submesoscale fronts and filaments, internal tides, and internal gravity waves. These are difficult to observe with the present altimeter constellation due to the along-track altimetric sampling and higher noise levels. The chapter addresses how these fine-scale dynamics will be observed with the future SWOT SARinterferometric altimetry technology, the challenges in mapping the SWOT swath SSH observations, and the preparation to assimilate SWOT 2D SSH images into operational ocean models., Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from GODAE OceanView.

: Florida Climate Variability and Prediction; This chapter describes the sources and mechanisms for climate variability in Florida across timescales (i.e., seasonal-to-decadal) and how they are used to make predictions. Current capabilities in terms of prediction quality, with an emphasis on precipitation and land surface temperature on seasonal timescales, are introduced as well as challenges and opportunities for the future. The longer decadal time scales are discussed in the next chapter in conjunction with climate change associated with anthropogenic forcing, Keywords: Multi-model ensembles, Regional climate prediction, Dynamical downscaling, Statistical downscaling, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

: Florida Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Past 100 Years; This chapter provides an overview of land use and land cover change in Florida over the past 100 years and a summary of how it may change in the future. We begin by providing a baseline description of Florida’s pre-1900 land cover, natural resource distribution, and biodiversity. This is followed by a description of major land use changes and trends related to transportation, agriculture, mining, urbanization, tourism, disruption of natural processes, and conservation from 1900 to the present. We also describe changes in land use and land cover caused by climate change. The chapter concludes with a discussion of current land use and land cover patterns, and the potential impacts of climate change and continued human population growth on the remaining natural and rural landscapes in Florida. Much has changed in Florida over the last century due to a combination of wetland draining, agriculture conversion, urban development, and establishment of several dominant exotic plant species, as well as accelerating sea level rise and shifting climate zones due to climate change., Keywords: Land use, Land cover, Climate change, Transportation, Tourism, Agriculture, Mining, Urbanization, Population growth, Natural processes, Conservation, Publication Note: Terms and Conditions: Readers may view, browse, and/or download material for temporary copying purposes only, provided these uses are for noncommercial personal purposes. Except as provided by law, this material may not be further reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, adapted, performed, displayed, published, or sold in whole or in part, without prior written permission from the Florida Climate Institute.

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