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Media, Belief Updating, and Iraq's Missing Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Program

Title: The Media, Belief Updating, and Iraq's Missing Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Program.
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Name(s): Sanfilippo, Samantha, author
Political Science
Type of Resource: text
Genre: Text
Issuance: serial
Date Issued: 2011
Physical Form: computer
online resource
Extent: 1 online resource
Language(s): English
Abstract/Description: Do individuals update their opinions when faced with new information? More specifically, does media coverage affect factual beliefs on foreign policy issues? These questions are directly related to theories of information processing, like Bayesian updating or motivated reasoning, which I plan to address in two empirical studies. First, using cross-sectional survey data from 2003 and 2004 Gallup polls, I conduct an over time study of public opinion on Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) program. Next, I use a technique known as within-survey/within-subjects counterfactual comparisons (Barabas and Jerit 2009) on the same dataset to study the effects of media coverage on the public's perceptions about many different aspects of the Iraqi WMD program (everything from nuclear devices, to chemical and biological weapons, and potential links to al Qaeda). All of these analyses are possible thanks to a unique set of questions that capture opinions, the certainty with which individuals hold their belief, and a collection of media data surrounding the survey. Overall, the results suggest that individuals tend to revise their beliefs in a manner consistent with the Bayesian theoretical perspective.
Identifier: FSU_migr_uhm-0036 (IID)
Keywords: Iraq, Media, Public Opinion
Submitted Note: A Thesis submitted to the Department of Political Science in partial fulfillment of the requirements for graduation with Honors in the Major.
Degree Awarded: Spring Semester, 2011.
Date of Defense: April 15, 2011.
Subject(s): Political science
Persistent Link to This Record: http://purl.flvc.org/fsu/fd/FSU_migr_uhm-0036
Restrictions on Access: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/
Owner Institution: FSU
Is Part of Series: Honors Theses.

Choose the citation style.
Sanfilippo, S. (2011). The Media, Belief Updating, and Iraq's Missing Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Program. Retrieved from http://purl.flvc.org/fsu/fd/FSU_migr_uhm-0036